Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BAD WALTERSDORF (AUSTRIA) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 18 September 2023, Monday


	Henri Squire		Marcello Serafini

	1	2
			Watch
	1.52	2.35
	1.49	2.56
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.45	2.61	Watch
	1.52	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.37)	2.45 ↓ (2.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henri Squire
62%

Marcello Serafini
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henri Squire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Henri Squire's form might have worsened.

Marcello Serafini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marcello Serafini's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henri Squire than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Henri Squire, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcello Serafini than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marcello Serafini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Henri Squire - Marcello Serafini Predictions

Users Predictions: Henri Squire will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Squire could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Squire will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henri Squire
ATP Challenger
17.09.23	Henri Squire - David Pichler	2:1 ✺
12.09.23	Federico Coria - Henri Squire	2:1 ✺
11.09.23	Timo Stodder - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
10.09.23	Jasza Szajrych - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
08.09.23	Flavio Cobolli - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWL
- Marcello Serafini
ATP Challenger
17.09.23	Aleksandr Braynin - Marcello Serafini	0:2 ✺
05.09.23	Alexander Shevchenko - Marcello Serafini	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.09.23	Michael Vrbensky - Marcello Serafini	2:0 ✺
31.08.23	Gal Emersic Potocnik - Marcello Serafini	0:2 ✺
23.08.23	Marcello Serafini - Lorenzo Carboni	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLWL

Henri Squire - Marcello Serafini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide