Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 PORTIMAO (PORTUGAL), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 15 March 2023, Wednesday


	Henrique Rocha		Akira Santillan

	1	2
			Watch
	1.78	1.9
	1.8	1.94
	1.69	2.09
	1.73	2
	1.73	1.99	Watch
	1.74	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.61)	1.98 ↓ (2.16)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henrique Rocha
53.1%

Akira Santillan
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Akira Santillan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Henrique Rocha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akira Santillan than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Akira Santillan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Rocha is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santillan is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rocha could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Rocha will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henrique Rocha
ITF Tournaments
11.03.23	Naoki Nakagawa - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
11.03.23	Diego Fernandez Flores - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
10.03.23	Henrique Rocha - Goncalo Oliveira	2:0 ✺
01.03.23	Naoki Nakagawa - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
24.02.23	Martin Damm - Henrique Rocha	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWLL
- Akira Santillan
ITF Tournaments
10.03.23	Akira Santillan - Naoki Nakagawa	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.02.23	Akira Santillan - Chun Hsin Tseng	1:2 ✺
27.02.23	Akira Santillan - Colin Sinclair	2:1 ✺
26.02.23	Jason Jung - Akira Santillan	Jung J. retired ✺
19.02.23	Akira Santillan - Alibek Kachmazov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLW?L

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akira Santillan
ATP Challenger
08.10.26	Keisuke Saitoh - Akira Santillan	✺

Henrique Rocha - Akira Santillan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide