Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday


	Martin Damm		Henrique Rocha

	1	2
			Watch
	1.40	2.80
	1.42	2.75
	1.48	2.96
	1.48	2.56	Watch
	1.42	2.90
	1.40	2.73	Watch
	1.45	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.45)	2.76 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martin Damm
65.8%

Henrique Rocha
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin Damm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	0%	6.2%

Martin Damm - Henrique Rocha Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Damm (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Martin Damm will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Damm is ranked ATP: 104. Rocha is ranked ATP: 123.

Damm has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rocha has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Rocha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Damm will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Damm won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Damm
ATP Washington
28.07.26	Martin Damm - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
26.07.26	Martin Damm - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Martin Damm - Kimmer Coppejans	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Martin Damm	3:0 ✺
29.06.26	Marco Trungelliti - Martin Damm	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLW
- Henrique Rocha
ATP Estoril
20.07.26	Henrique Rocha - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
ATP Umag
13.07.26	Damir Dzumhur - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Henrique Rocha - Nicolas Mejia	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.06.26	Henrique Rocha - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
12.06.26	Henrique Rocha - Darwin Blanch	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.08.25	Henrique Rocha - Martin Damm	2:1
ITF Tournaments
24.02.23	Martin Damm - Henrique Rocha	2:1

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