Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 July 2025, Wednesday


	Henrique Rocha		Eliakim Coulibaly

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
			Watch
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.38	3.1
	1.38	2.95	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.41	2.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.4)	2.81 ↑ (2.77)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henrique Rocha
66.7%

Eliakim Coulibaly
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henrique Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Eliakim Coulibaly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eliakim Coulibaly than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Henrique Rocha - Eliakim Coulibaly Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Coulibaly (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Coulibaly (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rocha is ranked ATP: 176. Coulibaly is ranked ATP: 286.

Rocha is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Coulibaly's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rocha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rocha might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rocha won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
29.07.25	Henrique Rocha - Henry Searle	2:0 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
19.07.25	Facundo Bagnis - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
ATP Gstaad
12.07.25	Patrick Zahraj - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.07.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL
- Eliakim Coulibaly
ATP Challenger
28.07.25	Radu Albot - Eliakim Coulibaly	0:2 ✺
22.07.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Raul Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
15.07.25	Aryan Shah - Eliakim Coulibaly	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.06.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Robin Bertrand	1:2 ✺
28.06.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Fabrizio Andaloro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
30.06.23	Henrique Rocha - Eliakim Coulibaly	2:1

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