Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OEIRAS (PORTUGAL), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 2 January 2024, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV3


	Henrique Rocha		Thai-Son Kwiatkowski

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.15	Watch
	1.68	2.23
	1.68	2.23
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.09	Watch
	1.66	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.85)	2.14 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henrique Rocha
56.1%

Thai-Son Kwiatkowski
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henrique Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Henrique Rocha's performance.

Thai-Son Kwiatkowski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thai-Son Kwiatkowski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Henrique Rocha that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thai-Son Kwiatkowski than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thai-Son Kwiatkowski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Henrique Rocha - Thai Son Kwiatkowski Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rocha will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
30.11.23	Henrique Rocha - Anton Matusevich	0:2 ✺
28.11.23	Alessandro Giannessi - Henrique Rocha	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.11.23	Khumoun Sultanov - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
24.11.23	Henrique Rocha - Leopold Zima	2:0 ✺
23.11.23	Henrique Rocha - Marco Berti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLWW
- Thai-Son Kwiatkowski
ATP Challenger
16.11.23	Thai-Son Kwiatkowski - James Duckworth	1:2 ✺
14.11.23	Thai-Son Kwiatkowski - Giles Hussey	2:1 ✺
09.11.23	Thai-Son Kwiatkowski - Aidan McHugh	1:2 ✺
07.11.23	Thai-Son Kwiatkowski - Strong Kirchheimer	2:1 ✺
06.11.23	Thai-Son Kwiatkowski - Christian Harrison	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWW

Henrique Rocha - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide