The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hernan Casanova 40.2%
Paul Jubb 59.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.5%
53.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.9%
53.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hernan Casanova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hernan Casanova's form might have worsened.
Paul Jubb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paul Jubb's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hernan Casanova than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hernan Casanova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paul Jubb than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paul Jubb, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
63.6%
0%
36.4%
Hernan Casanova - Paul Jubb Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Casanova will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Jubb will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Casanova: 35.2% – 92%.