Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Kashiwa, hard - Final

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Hikaru Shiraishi		Moerani Bouzige

	1	2
	1.54	2.51
	1.48	2.44	Watch
	1.53	2.3
	1.51	2.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.49)	2.41 ↑ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hikaru Shiraishi
61.4%

Moerani Bouzige
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hikaru Shiraishi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Moerani Bouzige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hikaru Shiraishi than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moerani Bouzige than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Hikaru Shiraishi - Moerani Bouzige Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shiraishi is ranked ATP: 482. Bouzige is ranked ATP: 463.

Shiraishi is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Bouzige has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Shiraishi might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shiraishi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hikaru Shiraishi
ITF Tournaments
03.04.26	Hikaru Shiraishi - Emile Hudd	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	Hikaru Shiraishi - Leo Vithoontien	0:2 ✺
01.04.26	Hikaru Shiraishi - Jumpei Yamasaki	2:1 ✺
31.03.26	Hikaru Shiraishi - Elias Julian Werner	2:0 ✺
26.03.26	Hikaru Shiraishi - Tomohiro Masabayashi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWW
- Moerani Bouzige
ITF Tournaments
03.04.26	Chase Ferguson - Moerani Bouzige	1:2 ✺
02.04.26	Hyu Kawanishi - Moerani Bouzige	Kawanishi H. Retired ✺
01.04.26	Taiyo Yamanaka - Moerani Bouzige	1:2 ✺
30.03.26	Matthew Summers - Moerani Bouzige	0:2 ✺
24.03.26	Hunter Heck - Moerani Bouzige	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 W?WWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.10.24	Hikaru Shiraishi - Moerani Bouzige	2:0

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