Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Tokyo, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 4 July 2025, Friday


	Hikaru Shiraishi		Yusuke Kusuhara

	1	2
	1.55	2.25
	1.56	2.37
			Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.56	2.3	Watch
	1.69	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.69)	2.24 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hikaru Shiraishi
58.4%

Yusuke Kusuhara
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hikaru Shiraishi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Yusuke Kusuhara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hikaru Shiraishi than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hikaru Shiraishi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yusuke Kusuhara than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yusuke Kusuhara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hikaru Shiraishi - Yusuke Kusuhara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shiraishi is ranked ATP: 571. Kusuhara is ranked ATP: 792.

Shiraishi is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kusuhara is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Shiraishi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shiraishi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hikaru Shiraishi
ITF Tournaments
03.07.25	Ryota Tanuma - Hikaru Shiraishi	1:2 ✺
02.07.25	Hiromasa Koyama - Hikaru Shiraishi	0:2 ✺
02.07.25	Sora Fukuda - Hikaru Shiraishi	0:2 ✺
13.06.25	Kenta Miyoshi - Hikaru Shiraishi	2:1 ✺
12.06.25	Colin Sinclair - Hikaru Shiraishi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWLW
- Yusuke Kusuhara
ITF Tournaments
03.07.25	Yusuke Kusuhara - Shu Matsuoka	2:1 ✺
02.07.25	Colin Sinclair - Yusuke Kusuhara	1:2 ✺
14.06.25	Yusuke Kusuhara - Kenta Miyoshi	2:1 ✺
13.06.25	Jesse Delaney - Yusuke Kusuhara	0:2 ✺
12.06.25	Kousuke Ogura - Yusuke Kusuhara	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
17.04.25	Yusuke Kusuhara - Hikaru Shiraishi	2:1
26.03.24	Yusuke Kusuhara - Hikaru Shiraishi	0:2

Hikaru Shiraishi - Yusuke Kusuhara: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide