Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 July 2025, Thursday


	Himeno Sakatsume		Alina Korneeva

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.41	1.5	Watch
	2.61	1.51
	2.50	1.50	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.53	1.48	Watch
	2.74	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.74)	1.49 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Himeno Sakatsume
37%

Alina Korneeva
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

68.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Himeno Sakatsume has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Alina Korneeva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Himeno Sakatsume than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Himeno Sakatsume that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alina Korneeva than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alina Korneeva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Himeno Sakatsume - Alina Korneeva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sakatsume is ranked WTA: 280. Korneeva is ranked WTA: 275.

Sakatsume has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Korneeva is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sakatsume may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Korneeva is considered a favorite.

We predict that Korneeva will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Himeno Sakatsume
ATP Challenger
15.07.25	Aoi Ito - Himeno Sakatsume	0:2 ✺
14.07.25	Himeno Sakatsume - En Shuo Liang	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	Himeno Sakatsume - Teresa Franco Dias	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.07.25	Himeno Sakatsume - Madison Brengle	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.06.25	Kyoka Okamura - Himeno Sakatsume	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWLL
- Alina Korneeva
ATP Challenger
15.07.25	Alina Korneeva - Manon Leonard	2:0 ✺
14.07.25	Alina Korneeva - Madison Sieg	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	Alina Korneeva - Ekaterina Ovcharenko	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.07.25	Alina Korneeva - Linda Klimovicova	1:2 ✺
09.07.25	Han Shi - Alina Korneeva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLW

Himeno Sakatsume - Alina Korneeva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide