Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Austin - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday


	Himeno Sakatsume		Emerson Jones

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.86	1.85
	2.01	1.83
	1.86	1.62	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.98	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.1)	1.81 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Himeno Sakatsume
48.7%

Emerson Jones
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Himeno Sakatsume has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Emerson Jones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Himeno Sakatsume than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emerson Jones than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Himeno Sakatsume - Emerson Jones Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jones (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Jones (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 19.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jones (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sakatsume is ranked WTA: 136. Jones is ranked WTA: 145.

Sakatsume has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jones is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Jones may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Jones will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sakatsume won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Himeno Sakatsume - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.28%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Himeno Sakatsume
WTA Indian Wells
06.03.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Himeno Sakatsume	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Himeno Sakatsume - Alycia Parks	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Himeno Sakatsume - Nikola Bartunkova	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Simona Waltert - Himeno Sakatsume	0:2 ✺
WTA Austin
21.02.26	Claire Liu - Himeno Sakatsume	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWWL
- Emerson Jones
WTA Indian Wells
01.03.26	Emerson Jones - Nikola Bartunkova	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.02.26	Emerson Jones - Lin Zhu	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Talia Gibson - Emerson Jones	1:2 ✺
12.02.26	Emerson Jones - Miho Kuramochi	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Emerson Jones - Boyoung Jeong	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
10.05.25	Himeno Sakatsume - Emerson Jones	0:2
28.04.25	Himeno Sakatsume - Emerson Jones	1:2

Himeno Sakatsume - Emerson Jones: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide