Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Himeno Sakatsume		Nikola Bartunkova

	1	2
			Watch
	2.95	1.36
	2.7	1.4	Watch
	2.94	1.43
	2.69	1.44	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.73	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.43)	1.41 ↓ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Himeno Sakatsume
33.3%

Nikola Bartunkova
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Himeno Sakatsume has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Nikola Bartunkova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Himeno Sakatsume than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Himeno Sakatsume, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikola Bartunkova than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nikola Bartunkova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Himeno Sakatsume - Nikola Bartunkova Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sakatsume will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Bartunkova will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bartunkova: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakatsume (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Bartunkova (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Sakatsume (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakatsume (votes: 3 - 75%). Bartunkova (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sakatsume is ranked WTA: 135. Bartunkova is ranked WTA: 107.

Sakatsume has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bartunkova is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bartunkova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bartunkova might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Bartunkova will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Himeno Sakatsume
WTA Indian Wells
01.03.26	Simona Waltert - Himeno Sakatsume	0:2 ✺
WTA Austin
21.02.26	Claire Liu - Himeno Sakatsume	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.01.26	Himeno Sakatsume - Alexandra Eala	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Nao Hibino - Himeno Sakatsume	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
17.01.26	Caty McNally - Himeno Sakatsume	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLWL
- Nikola Bartunkova
WTA Indian Wells
01.03.26	Emerson Jones - Nikola Bartunkova	0:2 ✺
WTA Austin
25.02.26	Nikola Bartunkova - Taylor Townsend	0:2 ✺
23.02.26	Katie Volynets - Nikola Bartunkova	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Nikola Bartunkova - Louisa Chirico	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Nikola Bartunkova - Mariia Tkacheva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWW

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