Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hina Inoue		Simona Waltert

	1	2
	2.75	1.37
	2.7	1.42
	2.8	1.42
	2.9	1.43
	2.86	1.40	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.77	1.43	Watch
	2.14	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.14)	1.44 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hina Inoue
34.9%

Simona Waltert
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hina Inoue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hina Inoue's form might have worsened.

Simona Waltert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Simona Waltert's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hina Inoue than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hina Inoue, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Simona Waltert than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Simona Waltert, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	0%	86.7%

Hina Inoue - Simona Waltert Predictions

Users Predictions: Simona Waltert will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Simona Waltert will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Inoue is ranked WTA: 218. Waltert is ranked WTA: 127.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Inoue may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Waltert could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hina Inoue
WTA US Open
18.08.25	Lauren Davis - Hina Inoue	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.07.25	Hina Inoue - Janice Tjen	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Hina Inoue - Robin Anderson	Anderson R. retired ✺
24.07.25	Hina Inoue - Alina Korneeva	0:2 ✺
23.07.25	Hina Inoue - Ana Filipa Santos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WL?LW
- Simona Waltert
WTA US Open
18.08.25	Daria Snigur - Simona Waltert	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.08.25	Janice Tjen - Simona Waltert	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Robin Anderson - Simona Waltert	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.07.25	Simona Waltert - Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	0:2 ✺
WTA Iasi
18.07.25	Simona Waltert - Jil Belen Teichmann	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWLL

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