Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cary, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 July 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Hiroki Moriya		Aidan Mayo

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	2.32	1.54	Watch
	2.38	1.6
			Watch
			Watch
	2.36	1.55	Watch
	2.32	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.05)	1.56 ↓ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hiroki Moriya
40.1%

Aidan Mayo
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hiroki Moriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Aidan Mayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aidan Mayo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Hiroki Moriya - Aidan Mayo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Moriya will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Mayo will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Moriya (votes: 1 - 50%). Mayo (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moriya is ranked ATP: 398. Mayo is ranked ATP: 299.

Moriya is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Mayo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Moriya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Moriya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hiroki Moriya
ATP Challenger
01.07.25	Rio Noguchi - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
30.06.25	Hiroki Moriya - Nick Chappell	2:0 ✺
29.06.25	Hiroki Moriya - Reece Falck	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.06.25	Hiroki Moriya - Andres Andrade	2:0 ✺
14.06.25	Nicolas Mejia - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWWWW
- Aidan Mayo
ATP Challenger
30.06.25	Andres Andrade - Aidan Mayo	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.06.25	Aidan Mayo - Daniel Milavsky	0:2 ✺
19.06.25	Aidan Mayo - James Watt	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Aidan Mayo - Cooper Woestendick	2:1 ✺
13.06.25	Aidan Mayo - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.06.25	Aidan Mayo - Hiroki Moriya	1:2

Hiroki Moriya - Aidan Mayo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide