Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cary, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 July 2025, Tuesday


	Rio Noguchi		Hiroki Moriya

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
			Watch
	1.5	2.43	Watch
	1.54	2.52
			Watch
			Watch
	1.51	2.46	Watch
	1.5	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.63)	2.47 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Noguchi
62%

Hiroki Moriya
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Hiroki Moriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Noguchi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hiroki Moriya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Rio Noguchi - Hiroki Moriya Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Noguchi will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Moriya will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Noguchi is ranked ATP: 222. Moriya is ranked ATP: 398.

In recent matches, Noguchi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Moriya is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Moriya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Noguchi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
06.06.25	Rio Noguchi - Yi Zhou	0:2 ✺
04.06.25	Rio Noguchi - Stefan Dostanic	2:1 ✺
02.06.25	Rio Noguchi - Christian Langmo	2:1 ✺
30.05.25	Patrick Kypson - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
29.05.25	Rio Noguchi - Paul Jubb	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWLW
- Hiroki Moriya
ATP Challenger
30.06.25	Hiroki Moriya - Nick Chappell	2:0 ✺
29.06.25	Hiroki Moriya - Reece Falck	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.06.25	Hiroki Moriya - Andres Andrade	2:0 ✺
14.06.25	Nicolas Mejia - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
13.06.25	Aidan Mayo - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.11.23	Hiroki Moriya - Rio Noguchi	0:2
25.10.23	Hiroki Moriya - Rio Noguchi	2:1
ATP Chengdu
19.09.23	Rio Noguchi - Hiroki Moriya	2:0
ITF Tournaments
16.06.21	Hiroki Moriya - Rio Noguchi	2:1

Rio Noguchi - Hiroki Moriya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide