Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Nakhon Si Thammarat 2 (Thailand), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 September 2024, Friday


	Hiroki Moriya		Kasidit Samrej

	1	2
	2.7	1.4
	2.7	1.38
	2.79	1.42
	2.76	1.39	Watch
	3	1.36
	2.79	1.4	Watch
	2.7	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.16)	1.39 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hiroki Moriya
33.4%

Kasidit Samrej
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hiroki Moriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hiroki Moriya's form might have worsened.

Kasidit Samrej has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kasidit Samrej's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hiroki Moriya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasidit Samrej than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kasidit Samrej, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hiroki Moriya - Kasidit Samrej Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moriya is ranked ATP: 407. Samrej is ranked ATP: 614.

Recent matches Moriya is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Samrej is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Samrej could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Samrej will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Samrej to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Moriya won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hiroki Moriya
ITF Tournaments
04.09.24	Hiroki Moriya - Minghui Zhang	2:1 ✺
02.09.24	Hiroki Moriya - Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul	2:1 ✺
26.08.24	Hiroki Moriya - Ryota Tanuma	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.08.24	Philip Henning - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
14.07.24	Hiroki Moriya - Cooper Williams	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WWLLL
- Kasidit Samrej
ITF Tournaments
04.09.24	Weitao Xu - Kasidit Samrej	0:2 ✺
04.09.24	Jesse Delaney - Kasidit Samrej	0:2 ✺
30.08.24	Uisung Park - Kasidit Samrej	2:1 ✺
29.08.24	Jirat Navasirisomboon - Kasidit Samrej	0:2 ✺
27.08.24	Kasidit Samrej - Ryuki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
17.06.23	Kasidit Samrej - Hiroki Moriya	1:2

Hiroki Moriya - Kasidit Samrej: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide