The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hiroki Moriya 66.1%
Kousuke Ogura 33.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
72.1%
27.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
78.4%
21.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hiroki Moriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hiroki Moriya's form might have worsened.
Kousuke Ogura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kousuke Ogura's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hiroki Moriya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kousuke Ogura than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kousuke Ogura, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hiroki Moriya - Kousuke Ogura Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Moriya is ranked ATP: 517.Ogura is ranked ATP: 876.
Moriya is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Ogura has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Ogura may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Moriya could have a small edge in this match.
The players have not played against each other recently.
Last Results with these Odds
Kousuke Ogura - the odds 3.38 are the expected chance of winning is 27.93%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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