Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: KOBE (JAPAN), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 14 November 2022, Monday


	Hoang Nam Ly		Frederico Ferreira Silva

	1	2
	2.37	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.48
	2.5	1.5
	2.38	1.56
	2.41	1.58
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.56	1.46	Watch
	2.36	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (1.56)	1.52 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hoang Nam Ly
38.4%

Frederico Ferreira Silva
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hoang Nam Ly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hoang Nam Ly's form might have worsened.

Frederico Ferreira Silva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Frederico Ferreira Silva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoang Nam Ly than the current prediction. (+25%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hoang Nam Ly, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frederico Ferreira Silva than the current prediction. (-25%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Frederico Ferreira Silva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	0%	5.9%

Hoang Nam Ly - Frederico Ferreira Silva Predictions

Users Predictions: Hoang Nam Ly will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ferreira Silva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ferreira Silva will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hoang Nam Ly
ATP Challenger
11.11.22	Hoang Nam Ly - Tung-Lin Wu	0:2 ✺
10.11.22	Hoang Nam Ly - Yu Hsiou Hsu	2:0 ✺
08.11.22	Koki Matsuda - Hoang Nam Ly	0:2 ✺
06.11.22	Yuichi Sugita - Hoang Nam Ly	1:2 ✺
31.10.22	Hoang Nam Ly - Tatsuma Ito	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWL
- Frederico Ferreira Silva
ATP Challenger
09.11.22	Nicholas David Ionel - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
08.11.22	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
07.11.22	Frederico Ferreira Silva - John Millman	Canceled ✺
02.11.22	Frederico Ferreira Silva - John Millman	0:2 ✺
01.11.22	Nicholas David Ionel - Frederico Ferreira Silva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LW?LW

Hoang Nam Ly - Frederico Ferreira Silva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide