Match Info

Date: 1 September 2022, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York)


	Hubert Hurkacz		Ilya Ivashka

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.32	3.45
	1.32	3.45
	1.37	3.42
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.31	3.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.3)	3.45 ↓ (3.88)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hubert Hurkacz
72.4%

Ilya Ivashka
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.9%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.2%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hubert Hurkacz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Ilya Ivashka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilya Ivashka than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.9%	0%	8.1%

Hubert Hurkacz - Ilya Ivashka Predictions

Users Predictions: Hubert Hurkacz will win (68 of 74 users predict this - 91.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.67% – 98.11%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hurkacz won 3.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Ivashka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hurkacz is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Hurkacz won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP US Open
30.08.22	Hubert Hurkacz - Oscar Otte	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.22	John Isner - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
14.08.22	Hubert Hurkacz - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
13.08.22	Hubert Hurkacz - Casper Ruud	2:1 ✺
12.08.22	Nick Kyrgios - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLWW
- Ilya Ivashka
ATP US Open
30.08.22	Sam Querrey - Ilya Ivashka	1:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
24.08.22	Ilya Ivashka - Marc-Andrea Huesler	1:2 ✺
23.08.22	Ilya Ivashka - Peter Gojowczyk	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.22	Ilya Ivashka - Thanasi Kokkinakis	1:2 ✺
13.08.22	Ilya Ivashka - Jack Sock	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.01.19	Ilya Ivashka - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2
ATP Pune
01.01.19	Ilya Ivashka - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1
ATP Washington
30.07.18	Ilya Ivashka - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2
ATP Challenger
07.03.18	Hubert Hurkacz - Ilya Ivashka	2:0
23.03.17	Ilya Ivashka - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1

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