Match Info

Date: 14 August 2022, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Hubert Hurkacz		Pablo Carreno-Busta

	1	2
	1.57	2.37	Watch
	1.65	2.3
	1.62	2.38
	1.58	2.29
	1.68	2.32
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.68	2.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.52)	2.36 ↓ (2.61)

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hubert Hurkacz
59.2%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hubert Hurkacz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.3%	0%	42.7%

Hubert Hurkacz - Pablo Carreno Busta Predictions

Users Predictions: 75 users predict this event. Hurkacz will win (votes: 43 - 57.3%). Carreno Busta will win (votes: 32 - 42.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hurkacz: 46.1% – 68.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hurkacz is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Carreno Busta in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Hurkacz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hurkacz will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hurkacz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Montreal
13.08.22	Hubert Hurkacz - Casper Ruud	2:1 ✺
12.08.22	Nick Kyrgios - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
11.08.22	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
09.08.22	Emil Ruusuvuori - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
ATP Washington
03.08.22	Emil Ruusuvuori - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWWL
- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Montreal
13.08.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Daniel Evans	2:1 ✺
12.08.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jack Draper	2:0 ✺
11.08.22	Jannik Sinner - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
10.08.22	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
09.08.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Metz
26.09.21	Hubert Hurkacz - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0
ATP Cincinnati
19.08.21	Hubert Hurkacz - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2
ATP Challenger
16.09.15	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1

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