Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Geneva, clay - Final

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday


	Hubert Hurkacz		Novak Djokovic

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.43	1.36
	3.28	1.35	Watch
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.24	1.35	Watch
	3.25	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (3.08)	1.34 ↓ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hubert Hurkacz
29.1%

Novak Djokovic
70.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

69.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hubert Hurkacz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Novak Djokovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novak Djokovic than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.3%	0%	57.7%

Hubert Hurkacz - Novak Djokovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Hurkacz will win (votes: 11 - 42.3%). Djokovic will win (votes: 15 - 57.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Djokovic: 38.7% – 76.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Games, 1st Set - Djokovic (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 Games - Djokovic (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Djokovic (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 2nd Set - Djokovic (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Djokovic (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Novak Djokovic will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Hurkacz (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Djokovic (votes: 20 - 90.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 31. Djokovic is ranked ATP: 6.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hurkacz won 0.

Hurkacz is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Djokovic has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Djokovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Djokovic is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Hurkacz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 4:17. (average 0.6:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Geneva
23.05.25	Hubert Hurkacz - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
22.05.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
21.05.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
20.05.25	Arthur Cazaux - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
15.05.25	Hubert Hurkacz - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWL
- Novak Djokovic
ATP Geneva
23.05.25	Cameron Norrie - Novak Djokovic	1:2 ✺
22.05.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Novak Djokovic	0:2 ✺
21.05.25	Marton Fucsovics - Novak Djokovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Novak Djokovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.25	Novak Djokovic - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP World Tour Finals
16.11.23	Novak Djokovic - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1
ATP Wimbledon
10.07.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Novak Djokovic	1:3
ATP Dubai
02.03.23	Novak Djokovic - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0
ATP Madrid
06.05.22	Novak Djokovic - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0
ATP Paris
06.11.21	Novak Djokovic - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1
ATP Wimbledon
05.07.19	Novak Djokovic - Hubert Hurkacz	3:1
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.19	Novak Djokovic - Hubert Hurkacz	3:0

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