Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LUEDENSCHEID (GERMANY), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 4 August 2023, Friday


	Hugo Dellien		Jozef Kovalik

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.87
	1.83	1.94
	1.87	1.97
	1.8	1.91
	1.88	1.85	Watch
	1.82	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.05)	1.9 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Dellien
51%

Jozef Kovalik
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Dellien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hugo Dellien's performance.

Jozef Kovalik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jozef Kovalik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Dellien than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hugo Dellien that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jozef Kovalik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Hugo Dellien - Jozef Kovalik Predictions

Users Predictions: Hugo Dellien will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Dellien could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Dellien
ATP Challenger
02.08.23	Hugo Dellien - Daniel Masur	2:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
25.07.23	Hugo Dellien - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
18.07.23	Hugo Dellien - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	0:2 ✺
17.07.23	Timofey Skatov - Hugo Dellien	1:2 ✺
16.07.23	Hugo Dellien - Luca Nardi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWW
- Jozef Kovalik
ATP Challenger
02.08.23	Jozef Kovalik - Hazem Naw	2:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
27.07.23	Jozef Kovalik - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
25.07.23	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Jozef Kovalik	0:2
23.07.23	Jozef Kovalik - Elias Ymer	0:2 ✺
22.07.23	Pavel Kotov - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WLWLW

Hugo Dellien - Jozef Kovalik: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide