Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BASTAD (SWEDEN) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 16 July 2023, Sunday


	Hugo Dellien		Luca Nardi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.8
	1.96	1.81
	2	1.76
	2.03	1.82
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.04	1.72	Watch
	1.96	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.71)	1.77 ↓ (2.03)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Dellien
47.1%

Luca Nardi
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Dellien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hugo Dellien's form might have worsened.

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Nardi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Dellien than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hugo Dellien, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Nardi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Hugo Dellien - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Dellien will win (votes: 8 - 28.6%). Nardi will win (votes: 20 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nardi: 54.7% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dellien has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Nardi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nardi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Dellien
ATP Challenger
11.07.23	Pavel Kotov - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
05.07.23	Marcos Giron - Hugo Dellien	3:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.06.23	Hugo Dellien - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.23	Nicolas Jarry - Hugo Dellien	3:0 ✺
ATP Geneva
23.05.23	Hugo Dellien - Jeffrey John Wolf	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
12.07.23	Richard Gasquet - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
10.07.23	Marc Polmans - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
07.07.23	Matteo Gigante - Luca Nardi	2:1 ✺
06.07.23	Luca Nardi - Alexander Weis	2:1 ✺
04.07.23	Marcello Serafini - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWW

Hugo Dellien - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide