Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montpellier (France) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Final

Date: 27 January 2025, Monday


	Hugo Grenier		Alibek Kachmazov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.78	1.98
	1.78	1.93	Watch
	1.84	1.99
	1.76	2.02	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.98	Watch
	1.78	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.63)	1.96 ↓ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Grenier
52.2%

Alibek Kachmazov
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Grenier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hugo Grenier's form might have worsened.

Alibek Kachmazov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alibek Kachmazov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hugo Grenier, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alibek Kachmazov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Hugo Grenier - Alibek Kachmazov Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Grenier will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Kachmazov will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Grenier is ranked ATP: 153. Kachmazov is ranked ATP: 195.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Kachmazov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Grenier won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Grenier
ATP Montpellier
26.01.25	Hugo Grenier - Calvin Hemery	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.01.25	Clement Tabur - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
15.01.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
13.01.25	Thanapet Chanta - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
06.01.25	Christopher Eubanks - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWL
- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Montpellier
26.01.25	Alibek Kachmazov - Alejandro Moro Canas	Moro Canas A. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
22.01.25	Alibek Kachmazov - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
07.01.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Alibek Kachmazov	2:0 ✺
06.01.25	Alibek Kachmazov - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
06.01.25	Alibek Kachmazov - Luca Van Assche	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 ?LLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.07.23	Hugo Grenier - Alibek Kachmazov	2:0

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