Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuxi (China), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 May 2024, Tuesday


	Alibek Kachmazov		Seong Chan Hong

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	1.95	1.78	Watch
	2.01	1.83
	1.91	1.8
	1.98	1.77	Watch
	1.98	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.42)	1.77 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alibek Kachmazov
47.4%

Seong Chan Hong
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alibek Kachmazov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alibek Kachmazov's performance.

Seong Chan Hong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Seong Chan Hong might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alibek Kachmazov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seong Chan Hong than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Seong Chan Hong could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Alibek Kachmazov - Seong Chan Hong Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kachmazov will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Hong will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Kachmazov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Challenger
06.05.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Luke Saville	2:0 ✺
29.04.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Richard Berankis	0:2 ✺
26.04.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
24.04.24	Alibek Kachmazov - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
23.04.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Alibek Kachmazov	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLW?
- Seong Chan Hong
ATP Challenger
06.05.24	Illya Marchenko - Seong Chan Hong	0:2 ✺
17.04.24	Seong Chan Hong - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
16.04.24	Illya Marchenko - Seong Chan Hong	0:2 ✺
14.04.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Seong Chan Hong	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Soon Woo Kwon - Seong Chan Hong	Hong S. C. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWL?

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