Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LUGANO (SWITZERLAND), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 9 March 2023, Thursday


	Hugo Grenier		Richard Berankis

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.22	1.63
	2.27	1.65
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.21	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.45)	1.63 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Grenier
42.6%

Richard Berankis
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Grenier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Richard Berankis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hugo Grenier that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richard Berankis than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Richard Berankis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Hugo Grenier - Richard Berankis Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Grenier will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Berankis will win (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grenier: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Grenier could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Berankis will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Grenier
ATP Challenger
07.03.23	Hugo Grenier - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
ATP Marseille
19.02.23	Hugo Grenier - Antoine Bellier	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.02.23	Hugo Grenier - Jan Choinski	0:2 ✺
14.02.23	Hugo Grenier - Karl Friberg	2:0 ✺
ATP Montpellier
05.02.23	Hugo Grenier - Benoit Paire	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLWL
- Richard Berankis
ATP Challenger
07.03.23	Richard Berankis - Norbert Gombos	2:0 ✺
02.03.23	Richard Berankis - Kaichi Uchida	0:2 ✺
01.03.23	Bu Yunchaokete - Richard Berankis	0:2 ✺
09.02.23	Richard Berankis - Dennis Novak	1:2 ✺
08.02.23	Richard Berankis - Altug Celikbilek	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLW

Hugo Grenier - Richard Berankis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide