Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 24 March 2025, Monday


	Hynek Barton		Matej Dodig

	1	2
	1.72	1.98
	1.65	2.11
	1.67	2.12	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.69	2.09
	1.65	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.72)	2.09 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hynek Barton
55.5%

Matej Dodig
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hynek Barton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hynek Barton than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Hynek Barton - Matej Dodig Predictions

Users Predictions: Hynek Barton will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barton is ranked ATP: 371. Dodig is ranked ATP: 294.

Barton is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Dodig is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dodig could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hynek Barton
ATP Challenger
23.03.25	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Hynek Barton	0:2 ✺
28.02.25	Hynek Barton - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
27.02.25	Hynek Barton - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Vit Kopriva - Hynek Barton	1:2 ✺
24.02.25	Hynek Barton - Mukund Sasikumar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWWW
- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
23.03.25	Pierluigi Basile - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
17.03.25	Matej Dodig - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.03.25	Matej Dodig - Samuele Pieri	1:2 ✺
12.03.25	Matej Dodig - Sergi Perez Contri	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.02.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Matej Dodig	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLW?

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