Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hamburg, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hamburg 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Eliakim Coulibaly		Matej Dodig

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2	1.7
	2.17	1.71
	1.84	1.83	Watch
	2.15	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.84)	1.71 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eliakim Coulibaly
45.2%

Matej Dodig
54.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eliakim Coulibaly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Matej Dodig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eliakim Coulibaly than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eliakim Coulibaly, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matej Dodig, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Eliakim Coulibaly - Matej Dodig Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dodig will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dodig (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Coulibaly is ranked ATP: 299. Dodig is ranked ATP: 257.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Dodig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Coulibaly won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Eliakim Coulibaly - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 49.93%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Matej Dodig - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.07%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eliakim Coulibaly
ATP Challenger
16.10.25	Radu Albot - Eliakim Coulibaly	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Adrian Andreev - Eliakim Coulibaly	0:2 ✺
10.10.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
08.10.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Eliakim Coulibaly	1:2 ✺
06.10.25	Maxim Mrva - Eliakim Coulibaly	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLWW
- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
11.10.25	Matej Dodig - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
10.10.25	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Matej Dodig	Stricker D. retired ✺
08.10.25	Matej Dodig - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
06.10.25	Matej Dodig - Christopher Eubanks	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Stefano Travaglia - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 L?WWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.02.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Matej Dodig	Canceled
ITF Tournaments
02.11.23	Eliakim Coulibaly - Matej Dodig	1:2

Eliakim Coulibaly - Matej Dodig