Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Poznan, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 June 2025, Tuesday


	Hynek Barton		Toby Alex Kodat

	1	2
	1.69	2	Watch
	1.75	1.95
			Watch
	1.7	2.2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.7	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.83)	2.05 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hynek Barton
54.6%

Toby Alex Kodat
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hynek Barton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Toby Alex Kodat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hynek Barton than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hynek Barton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toby Alex Kodat than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toby Alex Kodat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hynek Barton - Toby Alex Kodat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barton is ranked ATP: 342. Kodat is ranked ATP: 377.

Recent performances by Barton have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kodat is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Barton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Hynek Barton - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hynek Barton
ATP Challenger
16.06.25	Hynek Barton - Toby Alex Kodat	0:2 ✺
15.06.25	Hynek Barton - Michael Vrbensky	2:1 ✺
11.06.25	Hynek Barton - Federico Cina	0:2 ✺
10.06.25	Richard Berankis - Hynek Barton	0:2 ✺
09.06.25	Daniel Bien - Hynek Barton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWW
- Toby Alex Kodat
ATP Challenger
16.06.25	Hynek Barton - Toby Alex Kodat	0:2 ✺
15.06.25	Milosz Sroka - Toby Alex Kodat	0:2 ✺
12.06.25	Toby Alex Kodat - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
11.06.25	Lukas Pokorny - Toby Alex Kodat	1:2 ✺
09.06.25	Oleg Prihodko - Toby Alex Kodat	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.06.25	Hynek Barton - Toby Alex Kodat	0:2
ITF Tournaments
24.09.22	Toby Alex Kodat - Hynek Barton	0:2

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