Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Cincinnati (USA), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 18 August 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cincinnati (USA) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	01:00	beIN Sports 2
Czech Republic	17:00	CANAL+ Sport
France	17:00	beIN Sports France 1
Germany	17:00	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	18:00	Nova Sports 6
United Kingdom	16:00	Sky Sports Tennis


	Iga Swiatek		Aryna Sabalenka

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.6
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.52	2.7
	1.5	2.75	Watch
	1.53	2.5
	1.5	2.61	Watch
	1.53	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.43)	2.58 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iga Swiatek
63%

Aryna Sabalenka
37%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iga Swiatek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iga Swiatek than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aryna Sabalenka than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Iga Swiatek - Aryna Sabalenka Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Swiatek will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Sabalenka will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swiatek: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Swiatek is ranked WTA: 1. Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 3.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Swiatek won 3.

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Sabalenka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Swiatek will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Swiatek won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iga Swiatek
WTA Cincinnati
17.08.24	Iga Swiatek - Mirra Andreeva	2:1 ✺
16.08.24	Iga Swiatek - Marta Kostyuk	2:0 ✺
14.08.24	Iga Swiatek - Varvara Gracheva	2:1 ✺
WTA Olympic Games
02.08.24	Iga Swiatek - Anna Karolina Schmiedlova	2:0 ✺
01.08.24	Iga Swiatek - Qinwen Zheng	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWWWL
- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Cincinnati
17.08.24	Aryna Sabalenka - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0 ✺
16.08.24	Aryna Sabalenka - Elina Svitolina	2:0 ✺
15.08.24	Aryna Sabalenka - Elisabaetta Cocciaretto	2:0 ✺
WTA Toronto
10.08.24	Amanda Anisimova - Aryna Sabalenka	2:0 ✺
09.08.24	Katie Boulter - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roma
18.05.24	Iga Swiatek - Aryna Sabalenka	2:0
WTA Madrid
04.05.24	Iga Swiatek - Aryna Sabalenka	2:1
Exhibition World Tennis League Women
23.12.23	Iga Swiatek - Aryna Sabalenka	0:1
WTA Finals
05.11.23	Aryna Sabalenka - Iga Swiatek	0:2
WTA Madrid
06.05.23	Iga Swiatek - Aryna Sabalenka	1:2
WTA Stuttgart
23.04.23	Iga Swiatek - Aryna Sabalenka	2:0
Exhibition World Tennis League Women
23.12.22	Aryna Sabalenka - Iga Swiatek	0:2

Iga Swiatek - Aryna Sabalenka