Match Info
WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/8-finalsDate: 7 September 2026, MondayLocation: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Czech-republic | HBO Max |
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Iga Swiatek |
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Qinwen Zheng |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 20.00
- The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Iga Swiatek
79.2% | Qinwen Zheng
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Iga Swiatek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Iga Swiatek's performance.Qinwen Zheng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Qinwen Zheng might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iga Swiatek than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Iga Swiatek that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qinwen Zheng than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Qinwen Zheng could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Iga Swiatek - Qinwen Zheng Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Swiatek (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 7.5 Games, 1st Set - over (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 Sets - Zheng (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Iga Swiatek will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Swiatek (votes: 1 - 50%). Zheng (votes: 1 - 50%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Swiatek is ranked WTA: 8. Zheng is ranked WTA: 121.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swiatek won 4.Swiatek is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Zheng is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).Swiatek may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Swiatek is considered a favorite.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Swiatek won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 1.8:0.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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