Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TEMUCO (CHILE), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 29 November 2023, Wednesday


	Ignacio Buse		Gilbert Soares Klier Junior

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	2.05	1.7	Watch
	2.11	1.75
	2.11	1.76
	2.1	1.67
	1.87	1.86	Watch
	2.07	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.7)	1.74 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ignacio Buse
46.1%

Gilbert Soares Klier Junior
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ignacio Buse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ignacio Buse's form might have worsened.

Gilbert Soares Klier Junior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gilbert Soares Klier Junior's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ignacio Buse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gilbert Soares Klier Junior than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gilbert Soares Klier Junior, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Ignacio Buse - Gilbert Soares Klier Junior Predictions

Users Predictions: Ignacio Buse will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Buse is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Soares Klier Junior is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Buse could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Buse
ATP Challenger
28.11.23	Hugo Dellien - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
27.11.23	Ignacio Buse - Ignacio Carou	2:0 ✺
26.11.23	Ignacio Buse - Brandon Perez	2:0 ✺
22.11.23	Alejandro Tabilo - Ignacio Buse	2:0 ✺
20.11.23	Blaise Bicknell - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW
- Gilbert Soares Klier Junior
ATP Challenger
27.11.23	Gilbert Soares Klier Junior - Benjamin Lock	2:0 ✺
23.11.23	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Gilbert Soares Klier Junior	2:0 ✺
21.11.23	Wilson Leite - Gilbert Soares Klier Junior	0:2 ✺
20.11.23	Oliver Crawford - Gilbert Soares Klier Junior	Canceled ✺
29.10.23	Max Houkes - Gilbert Soares Klier Junior	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLW?L

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