Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 MATARO (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 24 May 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: MATARO (SPAIN) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Ignacio Buse		Gonzalo Lama

	1	2
	1.95	1.72
	2	1.72
	2.02	1.74
	1.83	1.83
	1.95	1.76	Watch
	1.93	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.69)	1.75 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ignacio Buse
47.4%

Gonzalo Lama
52.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ignacio Buse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ignacio Buse's form might have worsened.

Gonzalo Lama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gonzalo Lama's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ignacio Buse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonzalo Lama than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gonzalo Lama, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Buse is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lama has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Buse could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Buse
ITF Tournaments
18.05.23	Gonzalo Bueno - Ignacio Buse	2:0 ✺
17.05.23	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
11.05.23	Ignacio Buse - Benjamin Winter Lopez	0:2 ✺
11.05.23	Ignacio Buse - Luis Francisco	2:0 ✺
21.04.23	Kai Lemstra - Ignacio Buse	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWL
- Gonzalo Lama
ATP Challenger
02.05.23	Gonzalo Lama - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
24.04.23	Gonzalo Lama - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
17.04.23	Gonzalo Lama - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
02.04.23	Jose-Rubin Statham - Gonzalo Lama	2:0 ✺
26.03.23	Gonzalo Lama - Benjamin Lock	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Ignacio Buse - Gonzalo Lama

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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