Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tenerife 2 (Spain), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 February 2025, Tuesday


	Ignacio Buse		Jakub Paul

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
			Watch
	1.9	1.75	Watch
	2.13	1.73
	2.05	1.72	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.02	1.73	Watch
	1.9	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.04)	1.73 ↑ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ignacio Buse
46.4%

Jakub Paul
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Jakub Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Paul than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Ignacio Buse - Jakub Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Buse will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Paul will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Buse is ranked ATP: 234. Paul is ranked ATP: 355.

Recent matches Buse is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paul is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Buse could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Buse
ATP Challenger
04.02.25	Ignacio Buse - Abedallah Shelbayh	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
01.02.25	Hady Habib - Ignacio Buse	Canceled ✺
31.01.25	Benjamin Hassan - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.01.25	Valentin Royer - Ignacio Buse	2:0 ✺
21.01.25	Ignacio Buse - Ivan Gakhov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 L?WLW
- Jakub Paul
ATP Challenger
10.02.25	Ryan Peniston - Jakub Paul	0:2 ✺
09.02.25	Lukas Pokorny - Jakub Paul	0:2 ✺
04.02.25	Max Hans Rehberg - Jakub Paul	2:1 ✺
03.02.25	Jakub Paul - Mae Malige	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Manuel Guinard - Jakub Paul	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWW

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