Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday


	Ignacio Buse		Quentin Halys

	1	2
	2.10	1.73	Watch
	2.10	1.70
	2.16	1.70	Watch
	2.13	1.68	Watch
	2.25	1.66
	2.12	1.74	Watch
	2.05	1.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.4)	1.7 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ignacio Buse
44.4%

Quentin Halys
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ignacio Buse's performance.

Quentin Halys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Quentin Halys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ignacio Buse that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quentin Halys than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Quentin Halys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Ignacio Buse - Quentin Halys Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Buse will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Halys will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Halys: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Buse (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Buse is ranked ATP: 35., and Halys is ranked ATP: 50..

In recent outings, Buse has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Halys is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Halys may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Ignacio Buse - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.93%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Quentin Halys - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 61.07%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Buse
Davis Cup World Group I
19.09.26	Ignacio Buse - Daniel Vallejo	1:2 ✺
18.09.26	Ignacio Buse - Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
03.09.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Ignacio Buse	3:0 ✺
02.09.26	Marcos Giron - Ignacio Buse	2:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
29.08.26	Arthur Fery - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLWW
- Quentin Halys
ATP Hangzhou
26.09.26	Quentin Halys - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
19.09.26	Liam Draxl - Quentin Halys	Canceled ✺
18.09.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Quentin Halys	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
03.09.26	Alexander Zverev - Quentin Halys	3:2 ✺
31.08.26	Quentin Halys - Facundo Diaz Acosta	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 L?LLW

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