Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Villa Maria - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 15 September 2025, Monday


	Ignacio Monzon		Carlos Maria Zarate

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.83
	2.1	1.6	Watch
	2.12	1.66	Watch
	2.14	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.86)	1.69 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ignacio Monzon
45.2%

Carlos Maria Zarate
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ignacio Monzon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Carlos Maria Zarate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ignacio Monzon than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ignacio Monzon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Maria Zarate than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carlos Maria Zarate, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ignacio Monzon - Carlos Maria Zarate Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Monzon is ranked ATP: 746. Zarate is ranked ATP: 980.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Zarate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Ignacio Monzon - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Monzon
ATP Challenger
14.09.25	Ignacio Monzon - Tomas Martinez	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.09.25	Ignacio Monzon - Juan Estevez	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Ignacio Monzon - Maximo Zeitune	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Ignacio Monzon - Franco Ribero	2:1 ✺
22.07.25	Lucio Ratti - Ignacio Monzon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLWL
- Carlos Maria Zarate
ATP Challenger
14.09.25	Carlos Maria Zarate - Juan Sebastian Osorio	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.09.25	Carlos Maria Zarate - Gustavo Heide	1:2 ✺
03.09.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Carlos Maria Zarate	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Carlos Maria Zarate - Mateo Carballo	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Carlos Maria Zarate - Samir Banerjee	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWL

Ignacio Monzon - Carlos Maria Zarate: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide