Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Qian Daohu, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday


	Ignasi Forcano		Qian Sun

	1	2
			Watch
	1.35	2.90	Watch
	2.07	1.69	Watch
	1.97	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.91)	2.1 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ignasi Forcano
53.9%

Qian Sun
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ignasi Forcano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ignasi Forcano's performance.

Qian Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Qian Sun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignasi Forcano than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ignasi Forcano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qian Sun than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Qian Sun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ignasi Forcano - Qian Sun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Forcano is ranked ATP: 1299. Sun is ranked ATP: 985.

Forcano has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sun's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignasi Forcano
ITF Tournaments
21.10.25	Ignasi Forcano - Xing Dao Chen	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Ignasi Forcano - Henry Searle	0:2 ✺
10.09.25	Tomas Jordi Leston - Ignasi Forcano	2:1 ✺
03.09.25	Ignasi Forcano - Cesar Bouchelaghem	1:2 ✺
28.08.25	Ignasi Forcano - Jorge Plans	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Qian Sun
ITF Tournaments
23.10.25	Qian Sun - Akira Santillan	Sun Qian retired ✺
22.10.25	Linang Xiao - Qian Sun	1:2 ✺
21.10.25	Qian Sun - Xiaoyin Yang	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Stefan Vujic - Qian Sun	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.09.25	Qian Sun - Evan Zhu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 ?WWLL

Ignasi Forcano - Qian Sun: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide