Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Asuncion (Paraguay) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 17 March 2025, Monday


	Igor Gimenez		Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida

	1	2
			Watch
	2.6	1.42	Watch
	2.86	1.39	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.77	1.41	Watch
	2.45	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.16)	1.43 ↓ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Igor Gimenez
34.9%

Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Igor Gimenez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Igor Gimenez's form might have worsened.

Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igor Gimenez than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Igor Gimenez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Igor Gimenez - Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida Predictions

Users Predictions: Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gimenez is ranked ATP: 626. de Almeida is ranked ATP: 987.

Gimenez is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches de Almeida is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gimenez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gimenez won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Igor Gimenez
ATP Challenger
16.03.25	Igor Gimenez - Ignacio Carou	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.03.25	Igor Gimenez - Juan Bautista Otegui	1:2 ✺
26.02.25	Filippo Alberti - Igor Gimenez	2:1 ✺
21.02.25	Igor Gimenez - Filippo Alberti	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.01.25	Igor Gimenez - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL
- Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida
ATP Challenger
16.03.25	Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida - Ignacio Monzon	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.03.25	Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida - Daniel Dutra da Silva	0:2 ✺
11.03.25	Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida - Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto	2:0 ✺
27.02.25	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida - Mateo Del Pino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.08.23	Igor Gimenez - Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida	2:1

Igor Gimenez - Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide