Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rosario - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 2 February 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rosario 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Igor Marcondes		Valerio Aboian

	1	2
			Watch
	1.32	3.1	Watch
	1.33	3.43
	1.31	3.17	Watch
	1.32	3.09	Watch
	1.36	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.34)	3.16 ↑ (2.97)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Igor Marcondes
70.4%

Valerio Aboian
29.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.9%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Igor Marcondes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Valerio Aboian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Igor Marcondes than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Igor Marcondes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valerio Aboian than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valerio Aboian could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Igor Marcondes - Valerio Aboian Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Igor Marcondes will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marcondes is ranked ATP: 402. Aboian is ranked ATP: 516.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Marcondes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Marcondes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Igor Marcondes
ATP Challenger
01.02.26	Igor Marcondes - Tymur Bieldiugin	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Marco Cecchinato - Igor Marcondes	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Franco Agamenone - Igor Marcondes	0:2 ✺
26.01.26	Milledge Cossu - Igor Marcondes	0:2 ✺
23.01.26	Igor Marcondes - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWL
- Valerio Aboian
ATP Challenger
01.02.26	Maximo Zeitune - Valerio Aboian	1:2 ✺
13.01.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
12.01.26	Valerio Aboian - Juan Bautista Otegui	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Valerio Aboian - Nicolas Garcia Longo	Garcia Longo N. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.12.25	Pierre Delage - Valerio Aboian	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLW?L

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
11.11.21	Igor Marcondes - Valerio Aboian	2:0
19.08.21	Igor Marcondes - Valerio Aboian	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valerio Aboian
ATP Challenger
27.10.26	Franco Roncadelli - Valerio Aboian	✺

Igor Marcondes - Valerio Aboian: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide