Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Itajai 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday


	Igor Marcondes		Thiago Seyboth Wild

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
			Watch
	2.47	1.48	Watch
	2.5	1.57
	2.45	1.49	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	2.45	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.26)	1.49 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Igor Marcondes
37.4%

Thiago Seyboth Wild
62.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Igor Marcondes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Thiago Seyboth Wild has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Igor Marcondes - Thiago Seyboth Wild Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Marcondes will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Seyboth Wild will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Seyboth Wild: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Thiago Seyboth Wild will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Marcondes is ranked ATP: 402. Seyboth Wild is ranked ATP: 217.

Seyboth Wild has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Seyboth Wild may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Seyboth Wild will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Thiago Seyboth Wild - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 59.01%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Igor Marcondes
ATP Challenger
21.01.26	Hugo Dellien - Igor Marcondes	0:2 ✺
19.01.26	Igor Marcondes - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Kaichi Uchida - Igor Marcondes	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	Igor Marcondes - Neil Oberleitner	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Igor Marcondes - Yuki Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWW
- Thiago Seyboth Wild
ATP Challenger
21.01.26	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
20.01.26	Lautaro Midon - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.01.26	Clement Tabur - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWL

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