Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokohama, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 November 2025, Wednesday


	Igor Marcondes		Yuki Mochizuki

	1	2
	1.22	4	Watch
			Watch
	1.22	3.8	Watch
	1.08	6.80	Watch
	1.23	3.74	Watch
	1.31	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.38)	4.31 ↑ (2.79)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Igor Marcondes
78%

Yuki Mochizuki
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Igor Marcondes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Igor Marcondes's performance.

Yuki Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yuki Mochizuki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Igor Marcondes than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Igor Marcondes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuki Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yuki Mochizuki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Igor Marcondes - Yuki Mochizuki Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Marcondes will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Mochizuki will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Marcondes (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marcondes is ranked ATP: 469. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 534.

Marcondes is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mochizuki's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mochizuki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Marcondes is the team to beat.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Igor Marcondes
ATP Challenger
18.11.25	Oliver Crawford - Igor Marcondes	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Igor Marcondes - Ji Sung Nam	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Igor Marcondes - Kanju Furusho	2:0 ✺
10.11.25	Igor Marcondes - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Kasidit Samrej - Igor Marcondes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWLW
- Yuki Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
18.11.25	Jumpei Yamasaki - Yuki Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	Ryo Tabata - Yuki Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Yuki Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Yuki Mochizuki - James Watt	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Yuki Mochizuki - Kazushi Idogaki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLWW

Igor Marcondes - Yuki Mochizuki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide