Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Castelo Branco, hard

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday


	Iker Urribarrens Ramirez		Goncalo Marques

	1	2
	2.80	1.36
	2.60	1.43
	2.9	1.42
	2.71	1.39	Watch
	2.85	1.4
	2.66	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (1.87)	1.4 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Iker Urribarrens Ramirez
33.8%

Goncalo Marques
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iker Urribarrens Ramirez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Iker Urribarrens Ramirez's form might have worsened.

Goncalo Marques has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Goncalo Marques's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iker Urribarrens Ramirez than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Iker Urribarrens Ramirez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goncalo Marques than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Goncalo Marques, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Iker Urribarrens Ramirez - Goncalo Marques Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Urribarrens Ramirez is ranked ATP: 1770. Marques is ranked ATP: 1098.

Urribarrens Ramirez has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Marques is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Marques may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Marques will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iker Urribarrens Ramirez
ITF Tournaments
16.07.26	Andrea Colombo - Iker Urribarrens Ramirez	1:2 ✺
15.07.26	Iker Urribarrens Ramirez - Guilherme Valdoleiros	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Paul Inchauspe - Iker Urribarrens Ramirez	2:0 ✺
23.06.26	Iker Urribarrens Ramirez - Ian Pedersen Lozano	2:0 ✺
10.06.26	Iker Urribarrens Ramirez - Bernardo Munk Mesa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWL
- Goncalo Marques
ITF Tournaments
16.07.26	Samuel De Felipe Garcia - Goncalo Marques	0:2 ✺
15.07.26	Goncalo Marques - Joao Domingues	Canceled ✺
03.07.26	Goncalo Marques - Sebastian Dominko	0:2 ✺
02.07.26	Emile Hudd - Goncalo Marques	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Goncalo Marques - Maxwell McKennon	McKennon M. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 W?LW?

Iker Urribarrens Ramirez - Goncalo Marques: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide