Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Sharm ElSheikh 2 (Egypt), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 February 2025, Friday


	Ilia Simakin		Alexandr Binda

	1	2
	1.4	2.7
	1.4	2.75
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.37)	2.73 ↓ (3)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilia Simakin
66.1%

Alexandr Binda
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilia Simakin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Alexandr Binda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandr Binda than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

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Preview

Simakin is ranked ATP: 326. Binda is ranked ATP: 574.

Simakin is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Binda in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Simakin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Simakin is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Simakin won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilia Simakin
ITF Tournaments
06.02.25	Ilia Simakin - Erik Arutiunian	2:1 ✺
05.02.25	Ilia Simakin - Aliaksandr Liaonenka	2:1 ✺
15.12.24	Marek Gengel - Ilia Simakin	2:0 ✺
14.12.24	Alexandr Binda - Ilia Simakin	1:2 ✺
13.12.24	Stuart Parker - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWW
- Alexandr Binda
ITF Tournaments
06.02.25	Felix Balshaw - Alexandr Binda	0:2 ✺
05.02.25	Aleksandr Braynin - Alexandr Binda	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	Alexandr Binda - Louis Dussin	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Kirill Kivattsev - Alexandr Binda	0:2 ✺
31.01.25	Alexandr Binda - Adrian Oetzbach	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.12.24	Alexandr Binda - Ilia Simakin	1:2
07.12.24	Alexandr Binda - Ilia Simakin	0:2
18.10.23	Alexandr Binda - Ilia Simakin	2:1

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