Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manama (Bahrain), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday


	Ilia Simakin		Alexis Galarneau

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.37	1.52	Watch
	2.29	1.64
	2.31	1.59	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.29	1.58	Watch
	2.37	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.45)	1.56 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilia Simakin
40%

Alexis Galarneau
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilia Simakin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Alexis Galarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Ilia Simakin - Alexis Galarneau Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Simakin will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Galarneau will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Simakin is ranked ATP: 332. Galarneau is ranked ATP: 178.

Simakin in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Galarneau is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Galarneau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Galarneau will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Simakin to win the game is with odds 2.4.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
11.02.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
10.02.25	Ilia Simakin - Vitaliy Sachko	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	Ilia Simakin - Ray Ho	Simakin I. walkover ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.02.25	Ilia Simakin - Martin Krumich	Krumich M. walkover ✺
07.02.25	Ilia Simakin - Alexandr Binda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WW??W
- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
11.02.25	Alexis Galarneau - Denis Yevseyev	2:1 ✺
06.02.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
04.02.25	Egor Agafonov - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
02.02.25	Alexis Galarneau - Marton Fucsovics	0:2 ✺
01.02.25	Alexis Galarneau - Fabian Marozsan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLWLL

Ilia Simakin - Alexis Galarneau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide