Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Astana (Kazakhstan), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 July 2024, Thursday


	Ilia Simakin		Lukas Pokorny

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.83	1.87
	1.84	1.87	Watch
	1.87	1.96
	1.83	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.83	1.91	Watch
	1.84	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.7)	1.88 ↓ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilia Simakin
50.6%

Lukas Pokorny
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilia Simakin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Lukas Pokorny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilia Simakin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Pokorny than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lukas Pokorny, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Ilia Simakin - Lukas Pokorny Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Simakin will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Pokorny will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Simakin in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Pokorny is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Simakin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Simakin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
16.07.24	Siddharth Vishwakarma - Ilia Simakin	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.07.24	Ilia Simakin - Mili Poljicak	2:1 ✺
06.07.24	Ilia Simakin - Patrick Schoen	Schoen P. retired ✺
05.07.24	Ilia Simakin - Sergio Callejon Hernando	2:0 ✺
04.07.24	Ilia Simakin - Oscar Weightman	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WW?WW
- Lukas Pokorny
ATP Challenger
17.07.24	Lukas Pokorny - Khumoun Sultanov	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.07.24	Nikos Lehmann - Lukas Pokorny	2:1 ✺
03.07.24	Manas Manoj Dhamne - Lukas Pokorny	1:2 ✺
28.06.24	Benjamin Pietri - Lukas Pokorny	1:2 ✺
26.06.24	Enrique Bogo - Lukas Pokorny	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
23.10.22	Ilia Simakin - Lukas Pokorny	2:1

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