Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Chisinau, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 May 2025, Thursday


	Ilia Simakin		Philip Henning

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.36	2.85	Watch
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.38	3.13
	1.39	2.9	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.37	2.94	Watch
	1.37	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.41)	2.88 ↑ (2.7)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilia Simakin
67.6%

Philip Henning
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilia Simakin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Philip Henning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philip Henning than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Ilia Simakin - Philip Henning Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Simakin will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Henning will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Simakin is ranked ATP: 249. Henning is ranked ATP: 360.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Simakin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Simakin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Simakin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
28.05.25	Ilia Simakin - Charlie Robertson	2:0 ✺
21.05.25	George Loffhagen - Ilia Simakin	2:0 ✺
20.05.25	Kris van Wyk - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
10.05.25	Ilia Simakin - Fajing Sun	1:2 ✺
09.05.25	Yusuke Takahashi - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLW
- Philip Henning
ATP Challenger
28.05.25	Philip Henning - Daniil Glinka	2:1 ✺
19.05.25	Johannus Monday - Philip Henning	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.05.25	Philip Henning - Petr Bar-Biryukov	0:2 ✺
12.05.25	Sergey Fomin - Philip Henning	0:2 ✺
07.05.25	Philip Henning - Luke Hooper	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.10.23	Ilia Simakin - Philip Henning	1:2

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