Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 August 2026, Wednesday


	Ilia Simakin		Fajing Sun

	1	2
	1.48	2.45
	1.5	2.43
	1.55	2.52
	1.47	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.48	2.47	Watch
	1.5	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.45)	2.46 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilia Simakin
62.1%

Fajing Sun
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilia Simakin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Fajing Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Ilia Simakin - Fajing Sun Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Simakin will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Sun will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Simakin is ranked ATP: 297. Sun is ranked ATP: 326.

Simakin has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sun's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Simakin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Simakin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Fajing Sun - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.62%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
03.08.26	Ilia Simakin - Gabi Adrian Boitan	2:1 ✺
08.07.26	Ilia Simakin - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Ilia Simakin	1:2 ✺
30.06.26	Ilia Simakin - Dimitar Kuzmanov	1:2 ✺
29.06.26	Ilia Simakin - Maxime Janvier	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWLW
- Fajing Sun
ATP Challenger
03.08.26	Fajing Sun - Semen Pankin	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Fajing Sun - Mees Rottgering	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Fajing Sun - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
05.07.26	Fajing Sun - Ozan Baris	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Fajing Sun - Braden Shick	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.05.25	Ilia Simakin - Fajing Sun	1:2

Ilia Simakin - Fajing Sun: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide