Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sharm ElSheikh 3 (Egypt), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday


	Ilia Simakin		Robert Strombachs

	1	2
	1.8	1.87
	1.78	1.89
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.77	1.94	Watch
	1.78	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.53)	1.9 ↓ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilia Simakin
51.5%

Robert Strombachs
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilia Simakin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ilia Simakin's form might have worsened.

Robert Strombachs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Robert Strombachs's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilia Simakin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Robert Strombachs than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Robert Strombachs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ilia Simakin - Robert Strombachs Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Simakin will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Simakin is ranked ATP: 409. Strombachs is ranked ATP: 424.

Simakin in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Strombachs is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Strombachs could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Simakin will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Simakin to win the game is with odds 1.56.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilia Simakin
ITF Tournaments
18.10.24	Ilia Simakin - Nino Ehrenschneider	2:0 ✺
17.10.24	Ilia Simakin - Tomasz Berkieta	2:0 ✺
16.10.24	Ilia Simakin - Ryoto Tachi	2:0 ✺
10.10.24	Ilia Simakin - Benjamin Hannestad	2:0 ✺
09.10.24	Ilia Simakin - Oscar Galimardanov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWWW
- Robert Strombachs
ITF Tournaments
18.10.24	Robert Strombachs - Amr Asrawy	2:0 ✺
17.10.24	Robert Strombachs - Mwendwa Mbithi	2:0 ✺
16.10.24	Robert Strombachs - Daniil Ryzhankou	2:0 ✺
13.10.24	Marek Gengel - Robert Strombachs	2:0 ✺
12.10.24	Robert Strombachs - Maximus Jones	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWLW

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