Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Sharm ElSheikh 10, hard - Final

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday


	Marek Gengel		Robert Strombachs

	1	2
	1.43	2.6
	1.48	2.44	Watch
	1.49	2.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.51)	2.5 ↑ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marek Gengel
63%

Robert Strombachs
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marek Gengel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Robert Strombachs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marek Gengel than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marek Gengel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Robert Strombachs than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Robert Strombachs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marek Gengel - Robert Strombachs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gengel is ranked ATP: 441. Strombachs is ranked ATP: 459.

Gengel is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Strombachs is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Strombachs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gengel could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Gengel will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gengel won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Marek Gengel - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 60.86%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Robert Strombachs - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.14%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marek Gengel
ITF Tournaments
04.04.26	Marek Gengel - Daniel Siniakov	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Marek Gengel - Kerem Yilmaz	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	Marek Gengel - Grigory Shebekin	2:1 ✺
01.04.26	Marek Gengel - Tuncay Duran	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Marek Gengel - Amr Asrawy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWW
- Robert Strombachs
ITF Tournaments
04.04.26	Yurii Dzhavakian - Robert Strombachs	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Karim Ibrahim - Robert Strombachs	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Amr Asrawy - Robert Strombachs	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Pieter De Lange - Robert Strombachs	0:2 ✺
26.03.26	Seydina Andre - Robert Strombachs	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.10.24	Marek Gengel - Robert Strombachs	2:0
06.10.24	Marek Gengel - Robert Strombachs	2:1
ATP Challenger
01.07.24	Marek Gengel - Robert Strombachs	0:2
ITF Tournaments
23.02.22	Robert Strombachs - Marek Gengel	2:0

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