Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Roda de Bara, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 July 2026, Thursday


	Iliyan Radulov		Yanki Erel

	1	2
			Watch
	2.30	1.53
	2.32	1.54	Watch
	2.41	1.58
	2.44	1.48	Watch
	2.35	1.56
	2.27	1.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (1.88)	1.54 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iliyan Radulov
39.6%

Yanki Erel
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iliyan Radulov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Iliyan Radulov's form might have worsened.

Yanki Erel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yanki Erel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iliyan Radulov than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Iliyan Radulov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yanki Erel than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yanki Erel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Iliyan Radulov - Yanki Erel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Radulov is ranked ATP: 642. Erel is ranked ATP: 340.

In recent matches, Radulov has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Erel is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Erel could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Erel will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Radulov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Yanki Erel - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 49.87%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iliyan Radulov
ITF Tournaments
08.07.26	Hamish Stewart - Iliyan Radulov	1:2 ✺
07.07.26	Albert Pedrico Kravtsov - Iliyan Radulov	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.06.26	Matteo Martineau - Iliyan Radulov	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.06.26	Stefano DAgostino - Iliyan Radulov	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.06.26	Luca Staeheli - Iliyan Radulov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLLL
- Yanki Erel
ITF Tournaments
08.07.26	Gianluca Carlini - Yanki Erel	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Noah Regas Luis - Yanki Erel	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Yanki Erel - Ryo Tabata	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.05.26	Yanki Erel - Daniil Ostapenkov	2:0 ✺
28.05.26	Yanki Erel - Kevin Edengren	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWW

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