Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Little Rock, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 May 2025, Wednesday


	Ilya Ivashka		Andres Andrade

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.62	2.16	Watch
	1.69	2.21
	1.68	2.14	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.12	Watch
	1.62	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (2)	2.15 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilya Ivashka
56.5%

Andres Andrade
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilya Ivashka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ilya Ivashka's performance.

Andres Andrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andres Andrade might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilya Ivashka than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilya Ivashka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andres Andrade than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andres Andrade could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ilya Ivashka - Andres Andrade Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Andrade will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Andrade (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Ivashka (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ivashka (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Andrade (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ivashka is ranked ATP: 949. Andrade is ranked ATP: 303.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Ivashka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Andrade will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilya Ivashka
ATP Challenger
06.05.25	Ilya Ivashka - Terence Atmane	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.04.25	Egor Agafonov - Ilya Ivashka	0:2 ✺
25.04.25	Elliot Benchetrit - Ilya Ivashka	0:2 ✺
23.04.25	Colin Sinclair - Ilya Ivashka	0:2 ✺
23.04.25	Ilya Ivashka - Ye Cong Mo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWWW
- Andres Andrade
ITF Tournaments
24.05.25	Renzo Olivo - Andres Andrade	2:0 ✺
23.05.25	Andres Andrade - Tyler Zink	2:0 ✺
22.05.25	Andres Andrade - Kenta Miyoshi	2:0 ✺
21.05.25	Andres Andrade - Tristan McCormick	2:0 ✺
18.05.25	Andres Andrade - Alex Rybakov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWWW

Ilya Ivashka - Andres Andrade: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide